CEDAR VALLEY RENEWABLE FARM Revenue Forecast
COMMERCIAL FORECAST

Revenue Forecast

Issued Inventory Available

See how current issued inventory translates into potential revenue under lower, expected, and higher carbon-credit price assumptions.

AVAILABLE CREDITS 180.000
×
EXPECTED PRICE ¤18.00
=
EXPECTED REVENUE ¤3,240
EXPECTED CASE ¤3,240 modeled value of currently available issued credits
PENDING 74.000
AS OF Aug 17
01
Start with inventory 180.000 issued credits are currently available.
02
Test market prices Compare downside, expected, and upside pricing.
03
Understand the range See how price changes alter potential revenue.
04
Move to sales Use the forecast as planning input, not realized revenue.
FORECAST SCENARIOS

What could the credits be worth?

Change the assumed market price and see the corresponding revenue outcome for the same credit position.

Lower Market Case
Low Scenario
PROJECTED REVENUE ¤2,160

Conservative price assumption.

Credit Price ¤12.00 per credit
Credits 180.000 modeled inventory
Expected Market Case
Expected Scenario
PROJECTED REVENUE ¤3,240

Current planning assumption.

Credit Price ¤18.00 per credit
Credits 180.000 modeled inventory
Higher Market Case
High Scenario
PROJECTED REVENUE ¤5,040

Upside market-price scenario.

Credit Price ¤28.00 per credit
Credits 180.000 modeled inventory
FORECAST RANGE

Revenue at a glance

Read left to right from lower-price exposure through the expected case and into upside potential.

Low ¤2,160 ¤12.00 / credit
Expected ¤3,240 ¤18.00 / credit
High ¤5,040 ¤28.00 / credit
CURRENT INVENTORY 180.000 issued credits modeled
EXPECTED PRICE ¤18.00 planning assumption
EXPECTED VALUE ¤3,240 forecast, not booked revenue
FORECAST HANDOFF

From forecast to sale

REVENUE Available credits can now move into commercial evaluation

Use the forecast to frame pricing and sales decisions. Revenue becomes real only after a commercial transaction progresses through sale, delivery, invoicing, and payment.